PROPHET EDGE v7.6R · COMMAND DASHBOARDSAT 8:31 PM CT · WEEK 4 BOARD + NFL WEEK 3 REVISED READS
THE EDGE CONSOLE
84 GAMES READ · 0 RELEASED PLAYS · PRICE IS THE PRODUCT
Every board on one surface: the Week 4 full-card college deep dive, NFL Week 3 revised reads, Friday’s settled MLB card and the MCS meta-consensus audit. Four model families, one workflow, and a hard gate between a candidate and a released play.
NO RELEASES — 0.00UCFBD SP+ GATE SATISFIEDPREDICTIONTRACKER · 40 MODELS/GAMECAPPERS NOT INCLUDED
GAMES READ
84
70 CFB + 14 NFL
RELEASED PLAYS
0
workflow gates open
UNITS AT RISK
0.00
no cleared ticket
CANDIDATES TIERED
22
CFB process scores
MODEL CONFLICTS
4
pass until resolved
CHIEFS −10 / −10.5 — CANDIDATE, 0uLIONS −6.5 — CANDIDATE, 0uILLINOIS +26.5/+27 — 63 TOP CANDIDATEVANDERBILT +9.5 — 63 TOP CANDIDATEPENN STATE −10 — 63 TOP CANDIDATE49ERS −8.5 — WATCH, INJURY ADJUSTMENT REQUIREDTEXAS A&M +7.5/+8.5 — 62 TOP CANDIDATEVIKINGS −1.5 — WATCH, 0uIOWA +5.5 — 61 TOP CANDIDATETITANS–GIANTS — HARD PASS, QB CHANGEBENGALS–STEELERS — MODEL CONFLICT, PASSBRONCOS +2.5 — CONDITIONAL ON NACUACHIEFS −10 / −10.5 — CANDIDATE, 0uLIONS −6.5 — CANDIDATE, 0uILLINOIS +26.5/+27 — 63 TOP CANDIDATEVANDERBILT +9.5 — 63 TOP CANDIDATEPENN STATE −10 — 63 TOP CANDIDATE49ERS −8.5 — WATCH, INJURY ADJUSTMENT REQUIREDTEXAS A&M +7.5/+8.5 — 62 TOP CANDIDATEVIKINGS −1.5 — WATCH, 0uIOWA +5.5 — 61 TOP CANDIDATETITANS–GIANTS — HARD PASS, QB CHANGEBENGALS–STEELERS — MODEL CONFLICT, PASSBRONCOS +2.5 — CONDITIONAL ON NACUA
NFL WEEK 3 — RANKED WATCHES8 · 0u
01Chiefs −10 / −10.5KC at MIA
TeamRankings implies a fair line near −12.3 and ranks KC 5th versus Miami last; PT was only −7.7 and Dunkel lists Miami +11.5. Pass at −11.5.
02Lions −6.5NYJ at DET
PT −8.6 and Dunkel’s 20-point margin back Detroit; TeamRankings −5.3 and Dimers’ near-50/50 cover odds disagree. Pass at −7 or worse.
0349ers −8.5ARI at SF
PT −12.4, TeamRankings −10.8, Director of Information 2nd vs 25th, Dunkel by 15.5. Bosa, Height and Thompson Jr. out — needs a real personnel discount.
04Vikings −1.5MIN at TB
PT −3.9 and TeamRankings −1.5 both lean Minnesota. Kyler Murray’s return after concussion protocol is the swing risk. Pass at −2.5.
05Texans −1 or betterHOU at IND
PT −1.9 and TeamRankings −1.6 favor Houston; Director of Information ranks Houston ahead. Dunkel is the counter on Indianapolis. Nico Collins out.
06Saints −3 at fair juiceLV at NO
PT −4.9, TeamRankings −3.5 and Director of Information all lean New Orleans. −110 or better only; pass at −3.5 or heavy juice.
07Broncos +2.5LAR at DEN
PT −2.5 and TeamRankings −2.6 favor the Rams; another cited model leans Denver. Nacua is doubtful — conditional on his status.
08Patriots +3NE at JAX
SharpModels sees a coin-flip with New England undervalued, but Dunkel strongly favors Jacksonville. Shadow-only, not price-qualified.
WEEK 4 CFB — PROCESS-CONFIDENCE LEADERS22 TIERED
01Illinois +26.5 / +27at Ohio State
Largest model/market gap on the board — SP+ Ohio State by 21.1 versus a market of 26.8, a 5.4-point cushion; 35/40 PT rows agree.
02Vanderbilt +9.5at Auburn
SP+ makes Auburn only 4.4 better, so Auburn can win outright and Vanderbilt still covers; 38/40 PT rows and both newsletters on the dog.
03Penn State −10vs Wisconsin
SP+ projects Penn State by 16.5 against a market of 10 — agreement on both the winner (40/40) and the cover (37/40).
04Texas A&M +7.5 / +8.5at LSU
SP+ makes LSU only 4.4 better against a market near −8; 38/40 PT rows on the dog. Terry Bussey is out for the season.
05Iowa +5.5at Michigan
SP+ makes Michigan only 0.3 better against a market of 5.5; 31/40 PT rows on Iowa, and two service plays on TheRX backed it.
06New Mexico −11 / −11.5at New Mexico State
SP+ New Mexico by 18.0 against a market of 11.5 — a 6.8-point cushion with 30/41 PT rows on the favorite.
07Fresno State −13 / −13.5vs Rice
SP+ Fresno State by 16.9 and 78% of PT rows on the favorite, though Bondi lists Rice +13.5 against the model side.
08Georgia Tech −3.5 / −3at Stanford
SP+ Georgia Tech by 9.3 against a market of 3 — the widest favorite-side cushion outside the top five, with 30/41 PT rows agreeing.
CONFIDENCE TIER TRACKER — WEEK 4 CFB26 ROWS
TIER 163
312% of rows
Illinois +26.5/+27Vanderbilt +9.5Penn State −10
TIER 260–62
623% of rows
Texas A&M +7.5/+8.5Iowa +5.5New Mexico −11/−11.5Missouri State +34.5Fresno State −13/−13.5Georgia Tech −3.5/−3
TIER 358–59
727% of rows
UConn +3.5Cincinnati +6.5Kennesaw State +6.5Nevada +5.5Oklahoma +13.5App State +14JMU −6
TIER 457
623% of rows
Baylor −9.5Wake Forest +13.5Maryland +1.5Hawaii −2.5Georgia Southern +17.5USC +3
PASSCONFLICT
415% of rows
Ole Miss–FloridaOklahoma State–West VirginiaRice–Fresno StateSan Diego State–Toledo
BOARD INDEX — OPEN ANY SURFACE
RELEASE GATES — WHY NOTHING IS RELEASED
CFBD SP+ gateSATISFIED
SP+ projections are in for every game on the Week 4 board.
PredictionTracker40 MODELS / GAME
Dispersion reported; ATS counts are direction tallies, not probabilities.
Capper InsightsNOT INCLUDED
Populates on game day by design — the capper layer is still open.
Two-book price checkOPEN
No exact book quote with a timestamp has been supplied.
SRS model familyNO WEEK 4 DATA
Returned no Week 4 records — only SP+ and PredictionTracker carry numeric weight.
X-list / authenticated readsLEAD ONLY
Treated as leads, not evidence; attribution not established.
SOURCE HEALTH
Director of Information
THRU SEP 21
Ballpark Pal
LINEUPS PENDING
Capper Insights
NOT INCLUDED
TheRX / service plays
PARTIAL
MODEL CONFLICTS — PASS UNTIL RESOLVED
▸Ole Miss–Florida — SP+ puts the edge on Florida, 33/40 PT rows take Ole Miss +3.5, and Capper Insights plus TheRX leaned Florida. Three layers, two directions.
▸Oklahoma State–West Virginia — SP+ and Capper Insights take Oklahoma State while 35/40 PT rows take West Virginia at a near pick’em price.
▸Rice–Fresno State — Bondi lists Rice +13.5 while SP+ makes Fresno State 16.9 better and 78% of PT rows take the favorite.
▸Cardinals–49ers — PT, TeamRankings, Director of Information and Dunkel all lean San Francisco, but Bosa, Height and Thompson Jr. are out and the ratings may not price it.
A conflict is a pass, not a coin flip. No conflict row becomes actionable until the opposing layers reconcile or the price moves past the disagreement.