OS 80RQ 72BUY: JMU +1 or betterPASS: JMU favored beyond −1
SP+ and PredictionTracker both make JMU approximately a two-point favorite while the market gives JMU +1.5.
EXISTING EARLY-LINE TICKETSHOLD / NO ADD
🎫GEORGIA 1Q −6.5
🎫NORTH TEXAS +3
🎫ARIZONA STATE ML
TRACKED SEPARATELY FROM CURRENT MARKET
TICKET CHANGE LOG — CONFLICT LOG (NOTHING IS SILENTLY REMOVED OR REVERSED)
GEORGIA 1Q −6.5HOLDLater boards changed the preferred Georgia derivative without invalidating this ticket. Do not add unless the current 1Q market is independently rescored.
NORTH TEXAS +3HOLDCurrent market is Texas State −3, so the ticket still owns the full key number. Do not flip to Texas State without a documented v7.6R conflict report.
ARIZONA STATE MLHOLDCurrent full-game market is Arizona State −5.5. The existing moneyline ticket avoids laying the points.
UCF −17.5REMOVEDRemoved because of the starting-quarterback injury.
SEATTLE–COLORADO OVERREMOVEDRemoved/pass after the market reached 11.5.
VIRGINIA −9.5 capper selectionSTALECurrent market is Virginia −10.5/−11.5.
RUTGERS +24 capper selectionSTALECurrent market is Rutgers +21.5.
NCAAF EDGE BOARD — 71 GAMES BY CT WINDOW
10:30 AM–12:00 PM CT (14)
COASTAL CAROLINA +5.5WATCH
GEORGIA 1Q −6.5HOLD
KENT STATE–OHIO STATE U59.5WATCH
BUFFALO +40.5WATCH
KANSAS STATE −20.5PASS
IOWA STATE +23.5WATCH
ARIZONA STATE MLHOLD
MERCER +39.5PASS
CLEMSON −3WATCH
model conflict
MINNESOTA −23.5WATCH
NORTH TEXAS +3HOLD
EASTERN MICHIGAN +23.5WATCH
VANDERBILT −3CANDIDATE
CENTRAL MICHIGAN +1.5CANDIDATE
1:00–3:30 PM CT (20)
BOSTON COLLEGE −38.5WATCH
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS +38.5PASS
TEMPLE–TOLEDO U48.5WATCH
TEXAS A&M −16.5CANDIDATE
FLORIDA STATE–ALABAMA U50.5WATCH
RUTGERS +21.5WATCH
SMU–LOUISVILLE U58.5WATCH
UTAH STATE +27.5WATCH
MICHIGAN −34.5WATCH
CINCINNATI −15.5CANDIDATE
CALIFORNIA −58.5PASS
WASHINGTON STATE −38.5WATCH
MASSACHUSETTS −30.5WATCH
WKU–INDIANA U60.5WATCH
IOWA −38.5WATCH
DUKE −10CANDIDATE
OS 79/RQ 70 · pass worse than −11
LIBERTY −14WATCH
LOUISIANA TECH +19.5CANDIDATE
prefer +20 · pass below +18.5
SOUTH CAROLINA −4CANDIDATE
pass worse than −5
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA +10.5WATCH
5:00–6:15 PM CT (18)
EAST CAROLINA +3CANDIDATE
candidate only at +3
FLORIDA ATLANTIC −6.5WATCH
APPALACHIAN STATE −17.5CANDIDATE
MARSHALL −4WATCH
TROY +27.5CANDIDATE
FLORIDA–AUBURN U53.5WATCH
UCF −17.5REMOVED
starting-QB injury
MURRAY ST–OKLAHOMA ST U70.5WATCH
UCONN −3CANDIDATE
UT MARTIN +34.5PASS
RICE +8.5WATCH
DELAWARE STATE +37.5PASS
NEVADA −3.5WATCH
OHIO +6.5CANDIDATE
prefer +7 · pass below +5.5
GEORGIA SOUTHERN +3WATCH
NICHOLLS +17.5WATCH
NORTH DAKOTA +25.5WATCH
EASTERN WASHINGTON +42.5WATCH
6:30–7:00 PM CT (12)
MICHIGAN STATE +29.5WATCH
LSU–OLE MISSPASS
model and volatility conflict
BYU −17.5WATCH
NEW MEXICO +21.5WATCH
watch, not a release
VIRGINIA −10.5PASS
pass at the current number
NORTHWESTERN −3.5WATCH
pending weather
VIRGINIA TECH–MARYLANDPASS
KENNESAW ST–TENNESSEE U60.5WATCH
UTSA +30.5CANDIDATE
TCU −18.5CANDIDATE
EAST TEXAS A&M +42.5PASS
LOUISIANA −7.5CANDIDATE
9:00–10:00 PM CT (7)
SOUTH DAKOTA +25.5WATCH
JAMES MADISON +1.5TOP
OS 80 · RQ 72
NORTHERN ILLINOIS +33.5WATCH
SACRAMENTO STATE +27.5WATCH
PURDUE +14WATCH
MONTANA +17.5PASS
FRESNO STATE −6.5CANDIDATE
Never silently remove or reverse a previous recommendation — every reversal is logged in the Ticket Change Log. Candidate does not mean Released.
MLB EDGE BOARD — ALL 15 GAMES
01WATCH
TIGERS–WHITE SOX O7.5
expensive at −130
02CANDIDATE
ORIOLES ML +118
03CANDIDATE
RED SOX ML +118
04PASS
PHILLIES–METS
05CANDIDATE
ATHLETICS ML +155
06TOP
CUBS–REDS O9.5 −108
top MLB candidate
07CANDIDATE
ROYALS ML +103
08CANDIDATE
RANGERS ML +109
09WATCH
ASTROS ML −114
10CANDIDATE
NATIONALS ML +115
11PASS
MARINERS–ROCKIES
pass at 11.5
12CANDIDATE
DIAMONDBACKS ML +128
13CANDIDATE
MARLINS–PADRES O7.5 −110
14WATCH
GIANTS–DODGERS O7.5 +115
15CANDIDATE
ANGELS ML −105
MLB plays remain provisional until starting lineups are final — every BallparkPal lineup was still marked "Final: No."
TOP CURRENT BOARD — NCAAF
01JAMES MADISON +1.5
02DUKE −10
03OHIO +6.5prefer +7
04LOUISIANA TECH +19.5prefer +20
05TEXAS A&M −16.5
06SOUTH CAROLINA −4
07CENTRAL MICHIGAN +1.5
08CINCINNATI −15.5
09UTSA +30.5
10FRESNO STATE −6.5
TOP MLB BOARD
01CUBS–REDS OVER 9.5 −108
02RED SOX ML +118
03ORIOLES ML +118
04NATIONALS ML +115
05ROYALS ML +103
06RANGERS ML +109
07MARLINS–PADRES OVER 7.5 −110
08DIAMONDBACKS ML +128
CAPPER INSIGHTS — SPARSE, NOT VERIFIED CONSENSUS
•Two 1U LSU ML selections
•One random 1U Georgia −24.5 selection
•One stale Rutgers +24 selection
•One Louisville ML selection
•One Alabama −19.5 selection
•One Florida ML selection
•One stale Virginia −9.5 selection
•MLB isolated picks on Milwaukee −1.5, Pittsburgh ML and Texas ML
No game currently has sufficient verified 3U+ independent consensus to receive maximum capper weight.
Current activity is sparse and must not be displayed as verified consensus. Cappers with isolated 1U selections cannot override independent models, price or matchup evidence.
BALLPARKPAL — MODEL VS MARKET
⚑Cubs–Reds projected approximately 11.92 runs versus 9.5.
⚑Boston projected 53.8% despite +118.
⚑Baltimore projected 55.4% despite +118.
⚑Kansas City projected 52.5% despite +103.
⚑Texas projected 55.0% despite +109.
⚑Washington projected 50.6% despite +115.
⚑Arizona projected 49.0% despite +128.
⚑Angels projected 54.1% around −105.
Every lineup was still marked "Final: No."
NO FULL RELEASES YET
REQUIRED BEFORE FINAL RELEASE
□Final NCAAF availability reports
□Kickoff-weather confirmation
□Two-book price verification
□Final MLB lineups
□Pitcher and batting-order confirmation
□Meaningful capper consensus where available
□Final portfolio correlation review
DISPLAY RULES — ALWAYS ACTIVE
§Confidence scores are process scores — not win probabilities.
§Candidate does not mean Released.
§Display buy-to and pass prices whenever supplied.
§Cappers with isolated 1U selections cannot override independent models, price or matchup evidence.
§Same-game exposure cannot exceed 1.00 unit.
§MLB plays remain provisional until starting lineups are final.
TOPstrongest current candidate
CANDIDATEqualifies for continued execution review
WATCHuseful lean but incomplete or price-sensitive
HOLDpreviously purchased ticket; no additional wager